Stock choosing is a very complicated
process and investors have different approaches. Anyway, it is wise to follow common
steps to minimize the danger of the investments. This article will plot these
basic steps for choosing high performance stocks.
Step 1. Choose on the time frame and
the general strategy of the investment. This step is very valuable because it
will command the type of stocks you buy.
Assume you decide to be a long term
investor, you would need to find stocks that have sustainable competitive
advantages along with stable growth. The key for discovering these stocks is by
looking at the historical fulfillment of each stock over the past decades and
do an easier business S.W.O.T. (Strength-weakness-opportunity-threat) analysis
on the company.
If you think to be a short term
investor, you need to adhere to one of the following strategies:
a. Momentum Trading. This tip is to
look for stocks that amplify in both price and volume over the recent past.
Most technical analyses help this trading strategy. My suggestion on this
strategy is to look for stocks that have displayed stable and smooth rises in
their prices. The conception is that when the stocks are not volatile, you can easily
ride the up-trend until the trend breaks.
b. Contrarian Strategy. This method
is to look for over-reactions in the stock market. Researches show that stock
market is not always capable, which means prices do not always orderly
represent the values of the stocks. When a company declared a bad news, people
panic and price often drops below the stock's fair value. To choose whether a
stock over-reacted to news, you should look at the potentiality of recovery
from the impulse of the bad news. For example, if the stock drops 20% after the
company loses a legal case that has no permanent damage to the business's brand
and product, you can be credent that the market over-reacted. My tip on this
strategy is to look a list of stocks that have recent drops in prices, analyze
the potential for a reversal (through candlestick analysis). If the stocks reflect
candlestick reversal patterns, I will go through the recent news to review the
causes of the recent price drops to determine the existence of over-sold chance.
Step 2. Conduct researches that give
you a choice of stocks that is steady to your investment time frame and
strategy. There are many stock screeners on the web that can assist you find
stocks according to your needs.
Step 3. Once you have a list of
stocks to buy, you will need to vary them in a way that gives the greatest
reward/risk ratio. One way to do this is conduct a Markowitz analysis for your
portfolio. The analysis will give you the scale of money you should allocate to
each stock. This decision is crucial because diversification is one of the
free-lunches in the investment world.
These three steps must get you
started in your quest to continue making money in the stock market. They will
deepen your knowledge about the financial markets, and would give a sense of
confidence that helps you to make better trading decisions.
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